Economics, Literature and Scepticism

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I am a PhD student in Economics. I am originally from South Africa and plan to return there after my PhD. I completed my M. Comm in Economics and my MA In Creative Writing (Poetry) at the University of Cape Town, where I worked as a lecturer before starting my PhD.

Friday, July 30, 2010

African Science and Scepticism Blogroll for July 2010

Posted by Simon Halliday | Friday, July 30, 2010 | Category: | 0 comments
Repost from Michael Meadon at Ionian Enchantment.  Note: Mike generally removes blogs that have been inactive for more than 6 months, so if you're no longer on the list and have resumed blogging, please email him.01 and the universe Acinonyx ScepticusAmanuensisASSAf BlogBotswana Skeptic Bomoko and other nonsense words Can Like To Have It (formerly Hello Universe, This is Nessie) Communicating Science, the African WayDefollyant's AntiBlog Digital Immigrant...

Monday, July 26, 2010

Books for Game Theory

Posted by Simon Halliday | Monday, July 26, 2010 | Category: , , , , | 3 comments
Today, at the University of Cape Town, I began to teach an undergraduate course in game theory.  The course is a broad-based introduction to game theory for students across the university's faculties: from humanities, to commerce, to engineering and the built environment.  We instruct with the textbook Games of Strategy (3rd ed) by Dixit, Reiley and Skeath.  The book is a good, broad-based and intuitive introduction to game theory, with mathematical formalisation...

Thursday, July 15, 2010

Collective Secular Action: Protest

Posted by Simon Halliday | Thursday, July 15, 2010 | Category: , , , , | 5 comments
Since arriving in London, I'd been intending to meet up with fellow sceptics, humanists and affiliated people. It took a while, but I got around to doing some stuff.  I've been involved in three things in the past two weeks: the Protest The Pope march at London Pride 2010, a meet-up of the Central London Humanist Group last week, and a talk by Simon Perry (he of Quacklash fame) at the meeting of Westminster Sceptics on Monday night.  I'll blog about each of...

Monday, July 12, 2010

Rationality v. Money-Maximising Self-Interest

Posted by Simon Halliday | Monday, July 12, 2010 | Category: , , , , | 1 comments

So I watched this talk of Dan Ariely's with BigThink (embedded below). He covered interesting topics as always. But he also brought up my 'pet hate' when people talk about rationality and self-interest and how they are often conflated when people talk about behavioural economics in the popular press. What's the point here: a rational actor maximises the payoff or utility that they gain from taking certain actions, that is consuming goods, engaging in certain activities, etc. A self-interested individual who maximises their money has rational preferences over money and is self-interested and will therefore engage in activities to maximise the amount of money that they have, calculating the costs and benefits in order to do so. But a rational individual who has other-regarding preferences - that is they care about how other people behave - an individual who does so rationally may give some money away, may behave trustingly, and may punish individuals she sees infringing what she may perceive to be social norms. Notice that such an individual remains rational, but her preferences are not the preferences of an entirely self-interested individual who only wants to increase the amount of money that she has.

Anyway, I feel the need to bring this up because far too many people talk about rationality and self-interest interchangeably when they are not. One of the problems we encounter, for example is that you could hypothetically have irrational individuals, some of whom are otherwise self-interested and some of whom are other-regarding. We might not be able to differentiate between these individuals if their irrationality is such that they behave in ways that do not maximise what we perceive to be their preferences. But we may still have rational actors who are self-interested (also called self-regarding), other-regarding or bits of both.  So when Ariely says that trust and punishment (vengeance) are irrational he is not actually defining the problem properly, or he's assuming that the preferences of being are in fact the preferences of someone who is an entirely self-interested money-maximising individual.  I believe that the evidence indicates that most people are not wholly money-maximising and only self-interested - their preferences are structured differently.  Consequently his rumpus about rationality is a poorly constructed problem about preferences and not a problem about rationality. 

Later he is asked about companies and irrationality.  He then talks about something 'making sense'.  Logic and rationality are not the same thing.  This is a sophomoric error.  He talks about focus groups being less useful than we think they are.  If this were irrational then it would mean that they do not help companies to make profit, because rational companies go about maximising profits (or maximising share prices or some other goal).   

Ariely finally nods his head to other-regarding or social preferences toward the end of the interview when he talks about 'society' and social norms, but places nowhere near enough emphasis on it given the power he attributes to 'irrationality' and the time, content and rhetoric he dedicates to 'irrationality'. Oh well... 

Otherwise, his commentary on reward-substitution, differences in time preferences and other phenomena is interesting and apposite.  I recommend that you take a look at the video and see what Ariely has to say, but make sure that you realise he's trying to package the talk more accessibly. 

Sunday, July 04, 2010

Cory Doctorow on Copyright

Posted by Simon Halliday | Sunday, July 04, 2010 | Category: , | 0 comments
I'd like to encourage people to take a look at the video embedded below, which is a talk by Cory Doctorow about copyright and democracy. If you don't know, Doctorow is co-editor of boingboing.net and a best-selling author. He makes many fascinating arguments about the problems of copyright creep, the democratic state, and the ways in which our lives could be monitored and affected by third parties that are allowed access to end-users' personal information. These...
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